Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
Why take stuff with you into space when bacteria and other bugs can make everything you need in situ?
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The Pentagon’s future oriented research agency DARPA has launched a new project designed to suss out whether bio-manufacturing and making everything from batteries of new kinds of materials in space will be possible. And, if it is then it’ll be a game changing capability that could vastly reduce the logistical costs of activities in cislunar space and beyond especially when combined with other in orbit manufacturing systems such as NASA’s desire to 3D and 4D print space stations in orbit and Space Tango’s autonomous space factories.
The project is called B-SURE, for Biomanufacturing: Survival, Utility, and Reliability beyond Earth, and “is aiming to answer fundamental questions about the feasibility of using microbes to produce all kinds of molecules and materials in space,” said Anne Cheever, program manager at DARPA. Some of those materials could be “critical to national security,” she added.
The ultimate end game for the US DOD would be in-space production of things like fuel, batteries, and plastics which could then be used to 3D print everything from satellites to Moon bases. B-SURE isn’t aimed at actually producing microbes or their by-products in space though, their aim is to see if the terrestrial microbes already used in bio-manufacturing on Earth, such as brewer’s yeast or E-Coli, can do their thing in space.
The B-SURE program has three separate research tracks, Cheever explained: What the microbes might be able to “eat” in space or on the surface of the Moon or Mars to allow them to produce useful materials, the affects of micro- or zero-gravity on microbial growth and production, and the affects of radiation.
The effort, she explained, is a very first baby step towards one approach to creating an in-space supply chain for on-orbit manufacturing that would be cheaper and more reliable than launching all the necessary materials. The data from the B-SURE experiments thus will be used to figure out whether bio-manufacturing is not just feasible, but also cost-effective.
“Currently, there’s no space-based manufacturing capability at all,” Cheever said. “So everything that goes for a mission is manufactured on Earth and then shipped to space. … What we’re aiming to do is to reduce that reliance on an Earth-based supply chain.”
The Space Force has identified in-orbit manufacturing as a key enabler of its ambitions to expand operations beyond Earth orbit.
“There is a critical DoD need for the continued development and future expansion of orbital manufacturing to enable and ensure supply chain resiliency, sustained technological superiority, and asset security and repair for current and future operations,” DARPA’s B-SURE fact sheet explains.
Indeed, Air Force Research Laboratory’s (AFRL) space innovation hub, SpaceWERX, launched in early November a new effort called Orbital Prime, designed to “invigorate the On-orbit Servicing, Assembly, and Manufacturing (OSAM) market,” according to the SpaceWERX website.
The initiative, modelled on the Agility Prime effort by SpaceWERX’s sister organization AFWERX to develop a commercial market for so-called flying cars, is using Small Business Innovation Research, Small Business Technology Transfer and Strategic Funding Increase funding to “drive technology maturation in areas of interest.”
AFRL at the same time announced it had stood up a new laboratory, called Deployable Structures Laboratory (DeSel) at Kirtland AFB, focused on on-orbit manufacturing of nearer-term high-strength materials and satellites structures that can expand the types of missions that small satellites can perform.
DARPA also has launched another OSAM project, Novel Orbital and Moon Manufacturing, Materials and Mass-efficient Design (NOM4D), “to pioneer technologies for adaptive, off-earth manufacturing to produce large space and lunar structures,” according to DARPA’s website.
Cheever said B-SURE and NOM4D are not directly related, in that the latter is focused on traditional materials science. “They’re complementary, but they are fundamentally different approaches.”
Bio-manufacturing is already widely used on Earth in the production of everything from medicines to foods to industrial solvents.
In fact, DARPA just on Wednesday announced it had successfully wrapped up a related synthetic biology project also managed by Cheever, called Living Foundries, aimed at producing “molecules and material precursors spanning a wide range of defense-relevant applications including industrial chemicals, fuels, coatings, and adhesives.”
The program produced more than 1,630 molecules and materials, according to the announcement, and “is transitioning a subset of these technologies to five military research teams from Army, Navy, and Air Force labs who partnered with the agency on testing and evaluation over the course of the program.”
But terrestrial microbes used in bio-manufacturing by and large are reliant on glucose (i.e. plain old sugar), which of course doesn’t exist in space. Thus, “alternative feedstocks” are required for bio-manufacturing there, Cheever said.
DARPA’s plan isn’t to develop new foods for bioreactors here on Earth, Cheever said. Instead, as the agency’s BAA explains, DARPA wants to see if the bio-bugs can eat “materials on orbit that are currently considered waste materials produced as a result of human activity or local natural resources such as sunlight and regolith.”
Regolith refers to soil from the Moon and Mars. Waste materials, the BAA explains, includes plastic packaging, so-called “grey water” that runs off from human activities such as bathing and household cleaning, and “black water” that includes human excrement. Natural resources might be carbon dioxide and/or sunlight.
Both lack of gravity and unfiltered solar radiation can affect biological processes, as is well known from NASA’s human exploration program and biology experiments on the International Space Station (ISS).
“Microbes evolved on Earth. So they’re all optimized to produce and grow in Earth gravity. And then when you change that, it changes their growth patterns, and potentially their bio-production,” Cheever said. As for radiation, the questions are essentially the same: “how does that affect their bio-productivity? And then how can we mitigate that?”
The BAA sets out a series of questions for proposals to answer about the affects of “variable gravity,” including “how is fermentation affected and can this be exploited to improve performance or increase molecule production?” Experimentation is to be based on the gravity on the ISS, as well as the surface of the Moon and Mars.