Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
The future of war will be autonomous and machine versus machine versus humans, so the US military’s getting ready for future wars where the rules have changed …
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If the current trend of the world’s militaries developing semi and fully autonomous hunter killer weapons systems, as well as hypersonic aircraft, drones and drone swarms, missiles and other forms of killing machines, continues then in the future humankind will be fighting Terminators and other machines for survival. And given the fact that today seven the lamest Artificial Intelligence (AI) strategy systems can beat the world’s top fighter jet pilots hands down it could be a one sided fight.
So, in order to redress the balance in what US Army sources are describing as a historic first, soldiers faced simulated “enemy robots” in a training exercise at the Joint Readiness Training Center at Fort Polk, Louisiana, in September. The 1st Battalion (Airborne), 509th Infantry acted as Opposing Force (OPFOR) against the 3rd Brigade Combat Team from the 101st Airborne Division.
Combat robots and Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs), are already becoming established on the battlefield. While the basic technology has been around since the unsuccessful Soviet Teletanks of the 1930s, the modern version is maturing fast. The Russians experimentally deployed Uran-9 remote-controlled tanks armed with 30mm cannon and missiles in Syria, and plans large-scale testing in 2022 to determine their total requirement for these “fully expendable” vehicles. It is not a matter of if but how many.
Armed UGVs are not confined to near-peer opponents like Russia. Last year Turkey announced that it would mass produce an armed UGV with a number of weapon options including assorted guns and rockets. As with Turkey’s highly successful drone export industry, Turkish-made weaponized robots may soon start turning up on battlefields in North Africa and elsewhere. They may not be as sophisticated as the latest U.S. models – like the agile Ghost Robotics quadruped that packs a sniper rifle which can pick off targets from 1,200 meters away – but they could still be dangerous new opponents requiring new tactics to counter.
The U.S. Army exercise involved two uncrewed vehicles with four remote operators and an NCO.
“This system allowed us to close with and destroy the enemy safely from a distance,” said Sergeant First Class Eugene Lackey in a U.S. Army release. “It [also enabled] us to find the enemy before he could find us. It is a great tool and I wish we could have it for little bit longer to really see how we can change the way wars are fought.”
The robots used in the test were surrogates, meaning they were standard utility machines that were used to stand in for the type of vehicles that might be encountered in action. The type employed seems to have been the Multi-Utility Tactical Transport, a load carrier produced by General Dynamics and used in several previous US military robotics experiments. The 8×8 wheeled vehicle is almost ten feet long, weighs almost two tons and carries a 1,200 pound payload.
The vehicles in the exercise, known as Project Origin have previously been seen toting M2 .50 heavy machine guns, M249 medium machine guns, Mk 19 grenade launchers and bazooka-type rockets. They are equipped with a variety of sensors for remote targeting, including day and night cameras. It is a basic improvised combat robot, no match for the Army’s fearsome high-speed M5 Ripsaw but still useful for an exercise.
During the exercise – which included an entirely non-simulated tropical storm for added realism and complexity – the Opposing Force used its armed robots to block a key intersection for 36 hours. In ‘silent watch’ mode the vehicles operate silently on battery power with no thermal signature, making them difficult to detect. Unlike humans, the robots can wait indefinitely in ambush positions while their remote operators take meal breaks and work in shifts.
Similarly, the robots were able to prevent the airborne force from accessing helicopter landing zones. They also successfully carried out route reconnaissance, allowing their operators to check out routes before risking exposing troops to fire.
As with drones, the exercise showed that unmanned systems are ideal for long, tedious missions as well as those too hazardous for humans.
“This validated the notion that if we assign the dumb, dirty, dangerous missions to the robots, we can re-assign our soldiers to the high-priority complex missions and tasks,” said Major Cory Wallace, leading the unmanned vehicle side of the project.
The army plans additional exercises involving troops, which it terms Soldier Touchpoints, throughout 2022. This will guide acquisition plans for armed, uncrewed vehicles. In the near future, these type of ‘killer robots’ are likely to feature on both sides and become increasingly common so figuring out the best ways to use and counter them in future wars will be a matter of life and death for the humans fighting alongside them.