Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, CNBC, Discovery, RT, and Viacom, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
Being able to create room temperature superconductors with zero electrical resistance will revolutionise everything from computing and energy to telecommunications.
Superconductivity. It’s not on everyone’s hit list of top technologies to follow, and most people probably don’t give a damn about it, but that said if scientists can develop a superconductor that works at room temperature, like the fabled Harvard University Metallic Hydrogen breakthrough that lasted just seconds before vanishing, then that will, literally, change the world – the world of computing, electronics, telecommunications, and even the planet itself where a new era of products with super low electrical resistance would mean we could cut energy emissions by 15 percent without having to change our energy habits. So it’s probably a technology worth paying attention to which I why I follow the developments in the space.
Superconductivity is the weird phenomenon of zero electrical resistance that occurs when some materials are cooled below a critical temperature. Today’s best superconductors have to be cooled with liquid helium or nitrogen to get cold enough (often as low as -250 °C or -480 F) to work. The holy grail for researchers is the idea that a material could be made to superconduct at around 0 °C – a so called “room temperature superconductivity.”
If such a thing was ever discovered it would unleash a wide range of new technologies, including super fast computers and data transfer, and that’s all just for starters.
The history of superconductivity is littered with dubious claims of high-temperature activity that later turn out to be impossible to reproduce. Indeed, physicists have a name for this – USOs, or Unidentified Superconducting Objects. So new claims of high temperature superconductivity have to be treated with caution. Having said that, the recent news that the record for high temperature superconductivity has been smashed is worth looking at in more detail.
The work comes from the lab of Mikhail Eremets and colleagues at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry in Mainz, Germany. Eremets and his colleagues say they have observed lanthanum hydride (LaH10) superconducting at the sweltering temperature of 250 K, or –23 °C.
That’s warmer than the current temperature at the North Pole.
“Our study makes a leap forward on the road to the room-temperature superconductivity,” say the team, citing the caveat that the sample has to be under huge pressure, 170 gigapascals, or about half the pressure at the center of the Earth, in order to work.
Eremets has a fairly impressive pedigree in this field when he smashed the previous record for high temperature super conductivity back in 2014. On that occasion his team was able to measure superconducting activity in hydrogen sulfide at -80 °C, some 10 degrees warmer than any other material and he published the work in Nature to huge acclaim. But the jaw-dropping surprise for physicists was the nature of the superconducting material.
Superconductivity is well understood in conventional superconductors, which are rigid lattices of positive ions bathed in an ocean of electrons. Electrical resistance occurs when electrons moving through the lattice are slowed down by bumping into it, while superconductivity occurs when the lattice is cooled to a point where it becomes rigid enough for mechanical sound waves, or phonons, to ripple through it. These waves deform the lattice as they travel. And electrons can “surf” on this deformation.
In fact, at low temperature, the electrons bond to each other to form so called Cooper pairs. And it is these Cooper pairs surfing through the lattice that constitutes superconductivity. As the temperature increases, the Cooper pairs break apart and the superconductivity stops. This change occurs at what is called the “critical temperature.”
Before 2014, the highest critical temperature for this kind of superconductivity was about 40 K or -230 °C. Indeed, many physicists thought it impossible for this kind of superconductivity to work at higher temperatures. That’s why Eremets’s recent announcement was so extraordinary – hydrogen sulfide is a conventional superconductor behaving in a way many people thought impossible.
Eremets’s discovery triggered a feverish bout of theoretical activity to explain how the superconductivity occurs. The consensus is that in hydrogen sulfide, hydrogen ions form a lattice that transports Cooper pairs with zero resistance when the temperature drops below a critical level.
This can happen at high temperature because hydrogen is so light. That means the lattice can vibrate at high speed and therefore at high temperature. But the lattice also has to be held firmly in place, to prevent the vibrations from tearing it apart. That’s why the superconductivity only works at high pressure.
Since then, there has been considerable theoretical and computational work to predict other materials that might superconduct in this way at high temperature. One of the likely candidates has been lanthanum hydride, the one that Eremets and co have been working on. The discovery that it superconducts at a toasty 250 K is a victory not only for Eremets and his team but also for the theoretical methods that predicted it.
“This leap, by ~ 50 K, from the previous record of 203 K indicates the real possibility of achieving room temperature superconductivity, that is at 273 K, in the near future at high pressures,” said Eremets.
There is still some work ahead, however. Physicists require three separate pieces of evidence to be convinced that superconductivity is actually taking place. The first is the characteristic drop in resistance as the temperature falls. Eremets has this.
The second involves replacing the elements in the sample with heavier isotopes. This makes the lattice vibrate at a different rate and changes the critical temperature accordingly. Eremets has this evidence too, having replaced the hydrogen in their samples with deuterium and seen the critical temperature drop to 168 K, just as expected.
The third strand of evidence is called the Meissner effect – a superconductor should expel any magnetic field. It is here that Eremets and co have struggled. Their samples are so small, just a few micrometers across, and sitting inside high-pressure diamond anvil cells, that the researchers have not yet been able to measure this directly, although they do have some other magnetic evidence.
Without this final signature, physicists may withhold their applause, but it is surely something the team is working hard to produce. In the meantime, the work opens up some obvious other avenues to pursue. The computational models suggest that yttrium superhydrides could superconduct at temperatures above 300 K which is truly room temperature, even though, again, they would be at pressures more commonly found at the center of the Earth which, let’s face it is another problem to solve – one day.
So room-temperature superconductors of one form or another may not be far away at all, and then the question then will be how best to exploit them.