Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
There are multiple uses for incredibly strong cables and materials, from defence to space elevators, and even helping electric cars travel 16,000km on one charge.
Recently I’ve discussed advances across a wide variety of materials, including the development of a wonder material that lasts for over 500 million years, and breakthroughs that will power the first generation of Terahertz computers, but now a research team from Tsinghua University in China has developed a fibre they say is so strong it could even be used to build an elevator to space, something that must be music to the ears of the Japanese scientists who just launched the world’s first space elevator prototype into space.
The scientists behind the new wonder fibre say it’s so strong that just 1 cubic centimetre of the fibre, which is made from Carbon Nanotubes, a wonder material that’s also helping reverse paralysis while at the same time helping create the world’s tiniest house, the first batteryless Lamborghini electric hypercar, and 1nm transistors, “would not break under the weight of 160 elephants,” or more than 800 tonnes. And that tiny piece of cable would weigh just 1.6 grams.
“This is a breakthrough,” said Wang Changqing, a scientist at a key space elevator research centre at Northwestern Polytechnical University in Xian who was not involved in the Tsinghua study.
The team has developed a new “ultralong” fibre from carbon nanotubes that they say is stronger than anything ever seen before, and patented and published their research in the journal Nature Nanotechnology earlier this year.
“It is evident that the tensile strength of carbon nanotube bundles is at least 9 to 45 times that of other materials,” the team said in the paper, who also said that the material would be “in great demand in many high-end fields such as sports equipment, ballistic armour, aeronautics, astronautics and even space elevators.”
The idea of building a lift that could travel from the Earth into space may sound like the stuff of science fiction, but it has been around for more than a century, and scientists have come up with various designs in recent decades.
One of them involves sending a large satellite into geostationary orbit that would lower a cable to the ground, where it would be anchored, and send another cable in the opposite direction, attached to a counterweight.
The theory is that the lift would be suspended between two cables – pulled taut by gravity and centrifugal force, and rotating with the Earth, like a weight on a piece of string being swung around in circles. But so far, the space elevator idea has remained in the realm of physical and mathematical models because there has been no material strong enough to make the super-light, ultra-strong cables needed. Until, perhaps, now.
Those cables would need to have tensile strength, to withstand the stretching forces, of no less than 7 Gigapascals, according to NASA. In fact, the US space agency launched a global competition in 2005 to develop such a material, with a $2 million prize attached, but no one claimed the prize.
Now, the Tsinghua team, led by Wei Fei, a professor with the Department of Chemical Engineering, says their latest carbon nanotube fibre has tensile strength of a whopping 80 Gigapascals.
Carbon nanotubes are cylindrical molecules made up of carbon atoms that are linked in hexagonal shapes with diameters as small as 1 nanometre, and they have the highest known tensile strength of any material, theoretically up to 300 Gigapascals. But for practical purposes, these carbon nanotubes must be bonded together in cable form, a process which is difficult and can affect the overall strength of the final product.
According to Wang, the space lift researcher, the transport system would need more than 30,000km of cable, and it would also need other structures such as a rail and a shield to protect against space debris and other environmental hazards.
“If the cable is not strong enough, it would not even be able to support its own weight. Until now, there has been no material tough enough to do the job,” said Wang, deputy executive director of the China-Russia International Space Tether System Research Centre.
Requirements for cable strength vary according to the space lift design. Wang said the carbon nanotube fibre appeared to be the most promising candidate for now, but more calculations and simulation were needed to evaluate how it would perform.
“The tether is one big problem, but it is not the only problem,” he added.
Chinese and Russian space scientists, for instance, are working together to find a safe, effective way to lower a fine, feather-light cable from a high-altitude orbit to the ground. Re-entry to the atmosphere can produce a lot of heat that could burn the cable, while the counterweight may need to be as large as an asteroid to keep the line straight.
So called space tether technology also has the potential to be used for military purposes, including capturing “non-cooperative targets” including enemy satellites. Japan launched two satellites last month in an experiment to study elevator movement in space – the first time this has been done – involving a mini-lift travelling along a cable from one satellite to another. It has yet to report the results of the experiment.
While a lift to space could still be many years, and probably decades, away, Wei said his team was trying to get the carbon nanotube fibre into mass production for use in defence or other areas.
“This could be a game changer in many sectors,” he said.
Wei gave the example of superfast flywheels in a mechanical battery – where the flywheel stores energy in a rotating mass, lifted by magnetic levitation in a vacuum chamber. The lighter and stronger the material, the faster it spins.
Using carbon nanotube flywheels, the mechanical battery would have 40 times the energy density of a traditional Lithium Ion (LiOn) battery, according to Wei. That would mean a car like a Tesla Model S could travel for 16,000km in one charge, or the distance from London to Sydney. But the technology is likely to be used for military purposes first, Wei said.
The researchers also made the longest carbon nanotube in the world in 2013, measuring half a metre, and recently beat that record by manufacturing a 70cm one.
Song Liwei, who studies mechanical batteries at the Harbin Institute of Technology in Heilongjiang, said if the carbon nanotube fibre could be mass-produced and if it significantly increased the energy density of mechanical batteries, adding it “would kill fossil fuel engines”.
“But the flywheels can be as big as a barrel, and the fibre would need to be several kilometres long to make a battery,” he said. “There is still a long way to go.”