Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
Researchers have a new weapon in the war against the rogue AI’s of the future.
Scientists from Google’s Artificial Intelligence division, DeepMind, and Oxford University are developing a “kill switch” for AI that will allow human operators to repeatedly and safely interrupt an AI program.
You use AI every day, you might just not realize it. It’s being woven into every part of the world’s digital fabric and it already has an increasing amount of influence over our daily lives and society. From introducing new technology influenced, cultural biases to increasing human longevity and much more in between the wide adoption of AI, and its impact is already staggering.
As these platforms become increasingly powerful, capable and independent – including the ability to self code, self heal and self replicate, it’s only natural that we should ask the question about what happens when, not if one goes rogue and prepare an adequate defense.
Shooting down the Rogue Army
Rogue however is only one of the concerns – albeit the greatest one. As these systems get increasingly complex and proficient there are an increasing number of ways in which an AI could behave “less than optimally” and laugh as you may by 2025 it’s highly likely that we’ll see the worlds first “schizophrenic” AI, caused by a “blip” in the code – let’s just hope it’s not near an ICBM when it has an episode.
Over the longer term AI platforms could, dare we say will, learn to avoid interruptions to themselves by simply finding new, innovative ways to disable the human masters big red button. The scenarios, and therefore the challenge that faces Google, and other researchers in this space, is immense. You could easily argue it’s akin to trying to hard code common, ethical and moral behaviours into every human being and then some, yet every day the newspapers remind us that despite society’s best efforts the powerful combined forces of intelligence, determination and individualism make this an almost impossible challenge. And it will be no less for AI which will, more than likely, end up inheriting some of those same traits – albeit in digital form.
Sometimes, all we can do is seek to limit the damage.
Today AI is the intelligence that powers trillions of digital transactions – from Google’s and Siri’s search algorithms to Facebooks and Netflix’s matching algorithms. It diagnoses complex disease with staggering speed, cuts drug discovery times by hundreds of multiples, optimises energy transmission and transportation networks, helps streamline business operations, makes our cities “Smarter” and increasingly it’s both the protector and the operator that’s embedded into more and more of the worlds defense platforms.
The digital kill switch
Up until now though there has never been an obvious way to put what is arguably the world’s most powerful genie back in its bottle and the teams research revolves around a method to ensure that AI’s that learn via a process called “reinforcement”, can be repeatedly and safely interrupted by human overseers without learning how to avoid or intentionally manipulate these interventions.
In an academic paper they outline how future intelligent machines could be algorithmically soft coded to prevent them from learning how to and, maybe more worryingly wanting to, override human input – a topic that has caused particular angst among the scientific and expert communities with notaries including Elon Musk, founder of Tesla, SpaceX and the backer of OpenAI, Stephen Hawking and Bill Gates being particularly vocal about the potential catastrophic Skynet like consequences of an out of control AI.
To stop the inevitable from happening the researchers are trying to design a system that makes the human interruptions of algorithms “not appear as being part of the task at hand”. Essentially this means machines are taught to stop themselves rather than being given the opportunity to think that the command originated from the outside.
In the paper the researchers state that for some algorithms, such as Q-Learning algorithms it is already possible to safely stop them but while other algorithms can be modified to be stopped from working it’s not clear if the remaining algorithms can be easily made safely interruptible. When researchers, for example tried to apply the changes to more universal algorithms, such as those associated with Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) it resulted in making them “weakly”, not “fully” interruptible.
While many people can argue that control is an illusion it’s also clear that we, as humans, must be able to exert a high level of control over future intelligent agents but with so many AI variants and with the pace of the technology advancing so rapidly maybe all we’ll be able to do is create a system that limits the damage.