Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
Bitcoin is contentious, and now in a world first it’s also an accepted national currency in El Salvador.
While most countries consider trading their real cash for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC) – or sovereign cryptocurrencies – El Salvador has raced ahead and adopted Bitcoin as legal tender – a world first that made a huge number of other countries including the International Monetary Fund very nervous because of the dangers and the implications. But, so far the launch has been beset by teething problems, as an angry protest by mistrustful citizens, technological glitches, and a dip in the cryptocurrency’s value clouded the rollout.
The bold experiment got off to a bumpy start when shortly after midnight, Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele complained the government-backed bitcoin app was not available on various internet platforms including Apple and Huawei.
Bukele used his Twitter account to press online stores to stock the app, or Digital Wallet, known as Chivo, and Huawei later began making it available. But when the app proved unable to cope with user registrations, the government unplugged it in order to connect to more servers and increase capacity.
Still, as the app began appearing on more platforms, Bukele was by afternoon retweeting videos posted on social media with people making payments using bitcoin at retailers in El Salvador including McDonald’s and Starbucks.
“El Salvador is taking a great step forward,” said Carlos Garcia, who went to a booth at a San Salvador shopping mall giving out advice on how the new currency would work.
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Starbucks’ El Salvador unit said it was accepting bitcoin for purchases at its restaurants, drive through facilities or to go.
Promising $30 of bitcoin for each user, Bukele has pushed for its adoption, saying it will help Salvadorans save $400 million a year on commissions for remittances, while giving access to financial services to people with no bank account.
“We must break the paradigms of the past,” Bukele tweeted. “El Salvador has the right to advance towards the first world.”
Bukele, 40, is one of the most popular presidents in the Americas, but has been accused of eroding democracy. Opinion polls showed Salvadorans are sceptical about using bitcoin, fearing its volatility and unsure of how it will work.
More than 1,000 people held a protest in San Salvador on Tuesday against the adoption of bitcoin, burning tires and setting off fireworks in front of the Supreme Court. As the currency’s price wobbled, the government purchased an additional 150 bitcoins on Tuesday, worth around $7 million.
Still, the poorest may struggle to access the technology needed to make bitcoin work in El Salvador, where nearly half the population has no internet access and many more only have spotty connectivity.
“I’m going to continue suffering with or without bitcoin,” said sweets seller Jose Herrera, who said he had trouble accessing a mobile phone.
Some say the adoption of bitcoin may fuel illicit transactions and financial instability. It has already muddied the outlook for more than $1 billion in financing that El Salvador is seeking from the International Monetary Fund.
Ahead of the launch, El Salvador bought 400 bitcoins worth around $20 million, Bukele said, helping drive its price above $52,000 for the first time since May. Hours later, bitcoin had weakened and last traded down 0.51% at $46,561.74.
Ethereum, another crypto currency, fell 0.32% to $3,404.05, while crypto exchange Coinbase Global slid 4.18% after reporting delays in some transactions on its platform.
The change means businesses should accept payment in bitcoin alongside the US dollar, which has been El Salvador’s official currency since 2001 and will remain legal tender. It remains unclear whether businesses will be penalized if they do not accept bitcoin.
In the run-up to the launch, the government installed ATMs that allow bitcoin to be converted into dollars and withdrawn without commission from the digital wallet Chivo. Bukele blamed Apple, Google and Huawei’s app download platforms for the initial Chivo delay.
“Release him! @Apple @Google and @Huawei,” Bukele wrote in a tweet, which was accompanied by a red-faced “angry” emoji.
The wallet was later available from Huawei and Apple.
A spokesman for Huawei said the company’s platform showed less than a thousand installations by late afternoon on Tuesday.
“Like all innovations, El Salvador’s bitcoin process has a learning curve,” Bukele said in a tweet. “Not everything will be achieved in a day, or in a month.”
In barely two years in office, Bukele has taken control of almost all levers of power. But although he has promised to clean up corruption the US recently put some of his close allies on a corruption blacklist, and just last week, top judges appointed by Bukele’s lawmakers ruled that he could serve a second term, breaking away from a constitutional rule that forbade consecutive terms.
Analysts fear the adoption of bitcoin, whose transaction records are distributed across the internet, beyond the reach of national jurisdictions, could encourage money laundering.
After the bitcoin law was approved, the ratings agency Moody’s downgraded El Salvador’s creditworthiness, while its dollar-denominated bonds have also come under pressure.
The World Bank have also reiterated it could not help El Salvador in adopting bitcoin “given environmental and transparency shortcomings,” a bank spokesperson said.
So, as El Salvador’s grand experiment continues we will all be watching closely to see whether it succeeds or fails so watch this space.