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WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF

The future of war will eventually be autonomous – and every new technological development is helping bring it closer to becoming a reality.

 

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Around the world militaries are focusing more time and money building the next generation of autonomous AI powered “things” – from autonomous hunter killer drones, missiles, and dog fighting AI pilots, to giant drones, and autonomous hypersonic bombers and navy ships. And in the US Navy’s case, thanks in part to some of these developments it looks like future aircraft carriers will be turned into giant 3D printing drone factories and even fly – literally, and the contracts are already going out.

 

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Now, as part of the next chapter in the story to create a fully self-sufficient and autonomous military apparatus America’s new Boeing MQ-25A Stingray drone has just passed a key test: refueling a manned aircraft, an F/A-18F Super Hornet, in midair.

The MQ-25A is designed to act primarily as an aerial refueling tanker, allowing other aircraft based on US Navy carriers to fly longer and farther – and freeing up much-needed Super Hornet fighters from the same task.

 

See it in action

 

On June 4, both aircraft flew from MidAmerica Airport in Mascoutah, Illinois. The MQ-25A, carrying an Aerial Refueling Store (ARS) pod on an external pylon, unspooled an aerial refueling drogue and trailed it behind the unmanned aircraft. The Super Hornet moved up to a position behind the drone and then plugged its refueling probe into the drogue, beginning the refueling process.

 

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There are two methods of aerial refueling. The “flying boom” method involves a large tanker – like the KC-135 Stratotanker, KC-10 Extender, or KC-46 Pegasus – lowering a long, fixed-length probe from the rear of the aircraft. The receiving aircraft typically has a receptacle port in its nose or wing. Once it’s in position behind the tanker, the receiving aircraft moves in and plugs into the boom. The US Air Force and US allies like Saudi Arabia and Israel, who use aircraft like the F-15 and F-16, primarily follow this method.

But US Navy and the US Marine Corps aircraft can’t fly planes equipped with long fixed booms from aircraft carriers, so they use the “hose and drogue” system instead. The MQ-25A uses hose and drogue, as does the buddy refueling system employed by the Super Hornet. The method is also popular with many air forces that fly European aircraft.

The Navy first flew drones from aircraft carriers in 2013, when the Northrop Grumman X-47B practiced takeoffs and landings from the USS Bush. The landmark event, however, seemed to go nowhere, as the Navy dithered about how to field uncrewed planes from aircraft carriers. One obvious choice was a long-range uncrewed strike plane, which could strike targets on land far enough away that US carriers were safe from anti-ship ballistic missiles like the Chinese DF-21D and DF-26.

 

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While a strike drone would have undoubtedly been useful, it also would have resulted in just 10 aircraft – out of an air wing of about 63 – with long-range capabilities. But the MQ-25A can refuel the 44 Super Hornets aboard a typical carrier, as well as the five EA-18G Growler electronic attack planes and four E-2D Advanced Hawkeye airborne early warning and control aircraft.

The Stingray’s ability to refuel Hawkeyes is particularly critical, as the E-2D is the eyes and ears of the carrier strike force, peering out and detecting threats far beyond radars on surface ships. The longer a Hawkeye can stay on patrol, the better protected the carrier is from low-altitude threats.

The MQ-25A will also be able to take over the aerial refueling mission from Super Hornets. Right now, Super Hornets fitted with “buddy system” aerial refueling pods carry out tanking on aircraft carriers. The problem? A Super Hornet outfitted for the tanking mission can’t carry missiles or bombs, reducing the number of aircraft available for actual combat missions.

 

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The tanking mission is also adding a lot of flight hours to the Super Hornet fleet, while reducing the number of hours pilots train for actual combat. A dedicated tanker will alleviate these problems.

In addition to tanking, the MQ-25A will also have the ability to act as an Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) drone. The Stringray will have a built-in electro-optical camera, allowing operators to spy on targets from a distance in both day and night conditions. The drone’s two external hardpoints could also likely carry pods equipped with intelligence-gathering capability, allowing the aircraft to scoop up enemy radio and radar signals, use synthetic aperture radar to image ground targets through fog and other clutter, or even launch smaller penetrating reconnaissance drones.

There’s also a very good chance the MQ-25A will circle back and become a strike drone after all. In March, a Navy official testified on Capitol Hill that the Stingray was designed with payload capability that has “great promise” for the strike mission. The two hardpoints could carry, for example, JDAM satellite-guided bombs or Paveway laser-guided bombs. Other payloads might include anti-ship missiles, electronic attack pods, and Quickstrike naval mines.

About author

Matthew Griffin

Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.

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