Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, CNBC, Discovery, RT, and Viacom, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
Nasdaq imagines a day when you can bypass the local power company and buy power from whoever you like – even your neighbours.
Imagine a day when the national rail company buys its power from collectives of neighbourhood consortiums who have an excess from their solar panels, or a day when you can buy energy to power your fridge from your neighbour and you’ve just stepped into the middle of Nasdaq and Co’s experiment and if past experiments with the blockchain are to believed then the energy companies should be on the look out.
Name a big software company involved in the cloud computing services movement and it’s a pretty safe bet that work includes experiments involving a technology called blockchain.
Just last week, Google disclosed its involvement in experiments by Royal Bank of Scotland, mainly for handling the clearing and settlement of financial transactions. Microsoft is involved in a similar project with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
IBM also has been extremely vocal, publishing self-funded research suggesting that about 15 percent of all banks would dabble in blockchain technology by the end of 2017 and that roughly two-thirds will have formal services in place within three years.
“There are many advantages to being an early adopter of blockchain technology,” said Likhit Wagle, global industry general manager for IBM Banking and Financial Markets, in a statement.
“To start, first movers are setting business standards and creating new models that will be used by future adopters of blockchain technology. We’re also finding out that these early adopters are better able to anticipate disruption, fighting off new competitors, along the way.”
While much of this early activity understandably is being driven by financial services organisations, experts believe that blockchain technology absolutely will play an increasingly important role in corporate sustainability strategies. For some, the blockchain is a means for improving supply chain transparency and it’s also likely to have a profound impact on how corporate customers buy energy.
“Blockchain is not only useful in moving money, it’s useful in moving any asset – whether that’s a unit of energy or a unit of computing power – in a very transparent and reliable way,” said David Bartlett, Chief Technology Officer for GE’s digital power services business “Current”.
Technically speaking blockchain is a piece of cryptography that manages the handoff of an asset — one that is either digital or physical — from one person to another and it keeps a perpetual ledger of every time an asset changes hands and also ensures that duplicates aren’t created along the way.
“The Bitcoin blockchain allows you to do something stupid simple,” says Alex Zinder, director of global software development for Nasdaq, which has been working on blockchain applications for three years as part of its Nasdaq Linq initiative.
“You have participants on a network; each one of them has a unique address. Then you have this coin, this ‘thing’, that you’re able to move from one address to another. That’s really it. That’s everything that it does.”
Put another way, the blockchain makes it far simpler and far more cost effective to experiment with new systems of bartering services or “things” that aren’t currently accommodated by existing transaction models.
“It helps you verify all the different touch points and points of origin along the way,” Zinder said.
Transforming the energy industry
And as for what’s possible?
As a potential catalyst for experiments, Nasdaq — along with IDEO CoLab and an Internet of Everything device startup called Filament — have hacked together an entirely new system of automating the creation of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs). It took them just four weeks to get their concept up and running.
At the center of their prototype are a solar panel and battery outfitted with Filament’s IoE sensors, which collect metrics about how much power is being generated and stored and the business partners are studying how that data might be used to automate the creation of RECs, which could allow far more businesses to participate than is currently possible.
“Most smaller operations aren’t participating in the RECs scheme because there is so much involved with validating that you do, indeed, have a solar panel, and that it’s producing energy,” said Shilpi Kumar, who works on strategic partnerships and special projects for Filament.
So far the solution is on track to prove that the existing methods of obtaining and trading RECs – a process that today lies in the hands of regional market authorities, could be disrupted.
“Suddenly, the cost per transaction is so low that you can start using it for things you would never have imagined as having a market,” Williams said.
Creating virtual power plants
Blockchain technology also could play a central role in the rise of so-called Virtual Power Plants (VPPs) that represent energy generating resources that are connected across a smart grid but that aren’t necessarily concentrated in one central location, such as traditional power plants.
“Imagine living in a community where your neighbour is able to produce excess energy,” said Current’s Bartlett.
“Rather than just buying a credit, you know you’re buying that energy from your neighbour. You’re getting the most efficient transfer of that energy – the point to point distance is the distance from your house to their house.”
In a recent report about VPPs Navigant Research suggests that VPPs could help optimize the use of existing power resources across the evolving electric grid, helping the industry move toward a more distributed model.
These VPPs would aggregate emerging generation sources — including solar panels or microgrids or energy storage installations — and correlate those resources with demand responses programs that enable businesses to receive rate cuts for reducing their power consumption.
“The primary goal of a VPP is to achieve the greatest possible profit for asset owners while maintaining the proper balance of the electricity grid — at the lowest possible economic and environmental cost,” say Navigant.
That’s in large part because this model removes centralized control of energy generating assets, according to Bartlett.
“Distributed energy is really about generating your own energy, being self reliant and selling excess energy to others,” he said.
It seems increasingly likely that services by blockchain technologies could play a useful role in automating and securing the transactions that make this dream possible. Companies such as Nasdaq, IBM and Microsoft ultimately could play a role in facilitating the creation of applications for supporting these barters or peer-to-peer trading networks.
“It’s hard to imagine a market like this today for multiple reasons, one of which is that the transaction platform would be too expensive to build for just a single purpose,” said IDEO CoLab’s Williams.