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WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF

Hypersonic weapons travel so fast that they make all conventional defense systems useless, and Russia is increasingly the world leader in the technology.

 

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Hypersonic weapons, that travel at over Mach 5, have been in development for decades and today they’re the focus of a major new arms race as China and Russia pull far ahead of everyone else and use them as an opportunity to make their adversaries traditional defenses almost useless. It’s a situation that has the US and its allies so nervous, especially as both China and Russia show off their latest hypersonic “carrier killers” and deploy them onto onto frigates, that there’s now a major co-ordinated international effort to catch up and find ways to defend against these new threats.

 

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It was with some surprise therefore that Russia announced it had fired the world’s first hypersonic missiles during wartime at military targets in Ukraine – news that was then confirmed by the top US commander in Europe.

On March 19, the Russian ministry of defense claimed that it had launched a Kinzhal, or Dagger, missile to strike a Ukrainian ammunition dump about 100 kilometers from the Romanian border.

The launch, most likely from a MiG-31 warplane, was the first reported combat use of one of the new classes of high-speed, highly manoeuvrable missiles commonly referred to as hypersonics. But the ministry’s purported video footage of the launch didn’t even show the correct date, leading to confusion about what had actually happened.

 

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Ten days later, US Air Force Gen. Tod Wolters told lawmakers that the Russian military has, in fact, launched multiple hypersonic weapons into Ukraine.

“There have been multiple launches. Most of them have been directed at military targets,” based on a preliminary assessment of intelligence, Wolters, who leads US European Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Hypersonic missiles are designed to thwart the world’s most sophisticated air defenses, so it’s unclear why Russia is using them against the Ukrainian military, although it’s likely because the war gives them a chance to test them in actual battle conditions, but nonetheless it’s still an experimental and very expensive weapon to use if you don’t have a good reason to.

 

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“I think it was to demonstrate the capability and attempt to put fear in the hearts of the enemy. And I don’t think they were successful,” said Wolters.

In the meantime, the US and its allies are accelerating their deliveries of air defenses and other weapons and gear to Ukraine.

“We’ve seen cases, for example, with a large armoured brigade combat team, that we’ve been able to transact that in weeks as opposed to months,” Wolters said.

When Sen. Angus King, I-Maine, said the Ukrainians couldn’t wait weeks, Wolters said smaller deliveries were arriving within days.

 

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“We have cases with smaller force elements where it would take 20 to 30 days. In many of those cases, we’re down to single-digit days and less,” the general said.

The Ukrainians have said that they need upwards of 500 Javelin missiles a day to confront Russian tanks and armor. Wolters said the Kremlin’s heavy investments in reactive tank armor and active tank protection systems don’t seem to be paying off as expected.

“This is pretty anecdotal, but the feedback we’re getting is: if you have a lot of anti-tank munitions, you can slow down a tank. So even their new armor has some chinks in their armor, so to speak, with respect to multiple projectiles being launched,” he said.

 

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Wolters said Russia has committed at least 70 percent of its total military capability to its unprovoked war on Ukraine, yet failed to topple the government or crush the outnumbered Ukrainian resistance.

On Tuesday, the Kremlin said it would scale back its operations around the capital of Kyiv during peace talks. But Russian forces have been more successful in the east of the country and along the coast between the Donbas and the annexed Crimean peninsula.

King asked Wolters whether Ukraine might “succeed in stalling the Russians or perhaps even pushing them back?”

The general replied, “Senator, I certainly believe that they can succeed in stalling the Russians.”

About author

Matthew Griffin

Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.

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