Matthew Griffin, described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers” and a “Young Kurzweil,” is the founder and CEO of the World Futures Forum and the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures consultancy working between the dates of 2020 to 2070, and is an award winning futurist, and author of “Codex of the Future” series. Regularly featured in the global media, including AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, RT, Viacom, and WIRED, Matthew’s ability to identify, track, and explain the impacts of hundreds of revolutionary emerging technologies on global culture, industry and society, is unparalleled. Recognised for the past six years as one of the world’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew is an international speaker who helps governments, investors, multi-nationals and regulators around the world envision, build and lead an inclusive, sustainable future. A rare talent Matthew’s recent work includes mentoring Lunar XPrize teams, re-envisioning global education and training with the G20, and helping the world’s largest organisations envision and ideate the future of their products and services, industries, and countries. Matthew's clients include three Prime Ministers and several governments, including the G7, Accenture, Aon, Bain & Co, BCG, Credit Suisse, Dell EMC, Dentons, Deloitte, E&Y, GEMS, Huawei, JPMorgan Chase, KPMG, Lego, McKinsey, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Samsung, Sopra Steria, T-Mobile, and many more.
Entrepreneurs are becoming increasingly empowered and the businesses they’re building are transforming industries.
Last week a crowd of individuals came together to lift a double decker bus off of a trapped cyclist and it’s a stark reminder about how when enough people come together with a common purpose they can achieve anything and it seems an especially apt analogy.
In today’s modern world the double decker Bus is your seemingly unassailable industry and the crowd represent the Entrepreneurs who are trying to move or upend it.
The Ants have power and purpose
Every time I visit a client with a head office in a skyscraper I look out of the window at the ant sized individuals forty or so stories below. When I talk to clients about disruption and how the future is already fundamentally changing the paradigms of business I talk to them about the ants but I get them to imagine the people are all Entrepreneurs with a common purpose to create the next big business or industry.
It might sound simplistic but it’s an effective visual analogy of the new world we live in. There are hundreds of thousands of well funded Entrepreneurs in accelerator programs in London, Silicon Valley, Boston, New York and further afield just around the corner from many of the organisations they’re busy trying to disrupt and they’re all united by a common purpose, swarming around the foundation of your industry trying to find chinks in your industry’s armour.
Today technology and digital have lowered the bar to entry and the number of people around the world starting companies has risen ten fold to 100 million and the number of patent applications has risen six fold. Entrepreneurs have faster and easier access to funding, expert resources, advanced manufacturing and prototyping techniques and rapid routes to market and when you connect billions of people together the next great idea and the means to resource, develop and sell it are merely a click away. Disruption is now closer to your door than it’s ever been before.
The Caravan on your lawn
Typically there are two groups that will be looking to disrupt your business – competitive corporations, either from within or from outside of your current industry and Entrepreneurs.
While it’s fair to say that technology has dramatically reduced the barrier to entry for many want to be disruptors it’s easy to argue that you’re more likely to spot the giant corporations like Google who are trying to park their caravan on your lawn than the smaller Entrepreneurs and more often than not that’s because the smaller Entrepreneurs are the ones more likely to fly under the radar until they’re a force to be reckoned with.
Google’s new product initiatives though have helped it increase earnings by $6 billion over the past 5 years but during the same period small start ups have created new markets worth over $1.5 Trillion and 174 of those start ups or 1.63% of all Silicon Valley start ups have gone from zero to multi billion dollar valuations almost over night so logically we could almost argue that it’s the smaller companies you need to be more wary of.
In many cases industries have paid too little attention to the Entrepreneurs circling their tower and have spotted them too late when they’ve already inflicted the damage and when they’ve managed to pivot a market. Think Airbnb, Box, GoPro, Nest and one hundred and seventy others. Now they’re not just parked on your lawn they’re upending your industry.
Start your turn early
Corporations have a relatively simple out look on life – it’s business as usual until their top and bottom lines are in decline and their share price is under pressure. When revenues are flattening and when profits margins are declining you’ll be surprised at how many organisations simply try to shrug it off and kick start the engines again by announcing structural changes and when these fail to reverse the organisations fortunes then they start taking more radical steps to stem the losses that include redundancies and asset sales but by that time the damage to their business is already done, they just have to hope it doesn’t become systemic and catastrophic.
The secret of course is that you need to always be on guard, spot disruption early and begin turning your business as soon as you can and today speed is the currency of business. It can take years to turn a large organisation which makes it even more vital that your organisation is able to recognise the signs and patterns of disruption as early as possible and with the right guidance and insights it’s simpler that you think but don’t be under any illusion.
Transforming a large business takes time, leadership and a firm hand but managed correctly you can make the turn and still be in the lead. Disrupt yourself before someone else does and lead the new market rather than being relegated to being a footnote.
Disruption originates in your blind spot but despite the evidence around us many organisations are still ill equipped to see it, defend against it or harness it. When your foundations and exits are surrounded and under attack the ivory tower that was once your fortress can quickly feel like it’s turned into a prison. You need to change your perspective, get back to ground level, network and listen and figure out how if the shoe was on the other foot you’d transform your industry and ruin your competitors and one day it might be you who rule the world (again).